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Obama v. McCain (Washington)

Another week, another surprising general election match-up poll from Rasmussen.  McCain and Obama are essentially tied in Washington at 45-44%.  Obama loses independents, splits moderates evenly and loses 16% of Democrats to McCain, gaining just 11% of Republicans.  Once again, remarkably enough, he loses 18-29 year olds and those 65+, but wins voters in their thirties […]

Another week, another surprising general election match-up poll from Rasmussen.  McCain and Obama are essentially tied in Washington at 45-44%.  Obama loses independents, splits moderates evenly and loses 16% of Democrats to McCain, gaining just 11% of Republicans.  Once again, remarkably enough, he loses 18-29 year olds and those 65+, but wins voters in their thirties and forties and even the 50-64 group.  This poll puts Obama nine points behind Kerry’s 2004 result in the state.  The only consolation for Democrats is that Clinton is running worse in the state than Obama.  Needless to say, polls that show Democrats losing Washington in this cycle are hardly encouraging for supporters of either candidate.  By way of comparison, I would note that even Dukakis won Washington by a point.  Someone will point to this same fact and say, “Even Dukakis carried the state, so what are the odds of Obama losing it in reality?”  Perhaps, but then winning Washington will be cold comort if the rest of the country responds to Obama as it did to Dukakis in November.

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