Jacob Heilbrunn tells what ought to be a joke:
So Liz Cheney is thinking about running for the Senate.
He cites a report from yesterday that explains why many in the Wyoming GOP are unhappy about the prospect of a Cheney primary challenge. In short, the incumbent Republican doesn’t want to step aside, and he hasn’t done anything to rile Republican voters into replacing him, so Cheney’s apparent desire to unseat him makes no sense to them. Obviously, I don’t think having Cheney in the Senate is desirable on foreign policy grounds alone, but that outcomes seems unlikely.
The article recounts that some Republicans are worried that this will open the door to a Democratic win, but I don’t see how the Democrats would benefit from this. Democrats haven’t won a Senate race in Wyoming in over forty years, and Enzi won re-election by fifty points in 2008. Even if a primary fight left Enzi bruised, there is no real danger that he would lose to Cheney, and even less of a chance that a Democrat would defeat him in the general election. Cheney’s primary challenge wouldn’t be successful for several reasons: she has no experience in elected office, she is running against a popular incumbent, and there is no rationale for her candidacy except her own aggrandizement and the continuation of a family political dynasty. It’s hard to run a successful insurgent campaign at the best of times. It’s virtually impossible to do it as an unqualified carpetbagger. Indeed, if it weren’t for her father and her name, no one would be taking the slightest interest in this story. A primary challenge under these circumstances seems doomed to failure, so it makes sense that Liz Cheney would think it is a good idea.