Split Ticket

Remember how I was saying that Obama’s profound unpopularity in Kentucky would secure Mitch McConnell’s re-election?  Yes, well, that was apparently very wrong.  Rasmussen has a new poll showing McConnell at 44% and trailing Lunsford by five.  Incumbents polling under 50% are traditionally considered very vulnerable, and given the intense anti-GOP sentiment this year it is now easy to imagine that Kentucky flips along with perhaps as many as nine others (including a more long-shot Nebraska upset).  Given such hostility to GOP incumbents in Kentucky, it is all the more remarkable that Obama gets just 32% support.  There is going to be a lot of split-ticket voting this year:

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of McCain voters say they will split the ticket and vote for Lunsford.