Well, I was obviously wrong about Bush and Libby, or at least substantially wrong enough that it makes my earlier predictions in this area fall apart.  As you will have probably seen by now, the President has commuted Libby’s sentence, leaving him with a hefty fine and two years of probation, but at least allowing him to avoid time in jail.  This is really as much as he could ever have been expected to do, no matter how many Fouad “Fallen Soldier” Ajami pieces confronted him in the press.  Technically, those of us who argued he wouldn’t pardon Libby were right, but those of us who actually take Libby’s perjury conviction seriously aren’t typically interested in emphasising technicalities.