Obama is running out of states if you follow out a traditional model. Today, he expanded his buy into North Dakota, Georgia and Arizona in an attempt to widen the playing field and find his 270 Electoral Votes. This is a very tall order and trying to expand into new states in the final hours shows he doesn’t have the votes to win. ~Rick Davis
When your campaign has hung all of its hopes on the crazy gamble of flipping Pennsylvania, a state that Bush couldn’t win in his re-election campaign in relatively good times, it is strange to have your staffers talk about traditional models. According to the traditional model, McCain is already finished and has been for weeks. Then again, what else are you going to say when Arizona and Georgia are now rated as toss-up states? I’m not sure how much of this is put out for public consumption to prevent stories titled, “McCain staffers lose all hope,” and how much of it is an expression of the real views of McCain insiders. Presumably the insiders know that they’re going to lose and are keeping up appearances, but how shocked will McCain’s voters be when the comeback that they are being vaguely promised does not happen?
There does seem to be a real problem emerging here: if McCain supporters, encouraged by the talk radio echo chamber, believe that they are on the verge of an upset win and also believe in claims of widespread voter fraud, what are the odds that they are going to accept the results on Tuesday? It seems to me that Obama needs to win by a significant margin in the popular vote and Electoral College to quash “stolen election” theories.