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Christie’s Dead-End Candidacy

Chris Christie will join [1] the ever-expanding field of Republican presidential candidates next week:

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie will join the crowded Republican 2016 field Tuesday, two people with knowledge of his plans said.

Christie is a good example of how quickly politicians that are touted as rising stars can become so deeply disliked and unappealing even to broad swathes of their own party. I never quite understood the fascination many Republican pundits had with Christie, and I definitely didn’t understand the desire to draft him into the presidential race four years ago. Still, it’s undeniable that he was once held up as one of the future leaders of the party, and he is now unpopular [2] enough inside the GOP that his presidential bid is dead on arrival. Christie now belongs to an unfortunate fraternity of politicians that were once presumed to be leading contenders for the party’s nomination and fell into political disgrace before they could even begin to run. Where Christie had been celebrated as proof that a center-right politician could win in a very Democratic state and expand the Republican coalition, he is now distrusted by conservatives and his own constituents overwhelmingly disapprove [3] of his performance as governor. Sometimes Christie has been dismissed as another Giuliani, but this comparison actually overstates Christie’s chances at the nomination. Despite being more at odds with his party over more issues, Giuliani was much better-liked in 2007 than Christie is today. At this point, Christie would be fortunate to do as well as Giuliani did in 2008, and there is no reason to expect that he will be that lucky.

18 Comments (Open | Close)

18 Comments To "Christie’s Dead-End Candidacy"

#1 Comment By Baron Stein On June 25, 2015 @ 11:19 pm

All’s Well that ends well and this would be a good ending.

#2 Comment By jomike On June 26, 2015 @ 12:56 am

Maybe he’s banking on the Cruz wing flaming out so he can holler “See? I told you so!” If that doesn’t pan out there’s always the rubber chicken circuit. Giuliani seems to have done well on the grift telling Wall Streeters what they want to hear telling it like it is.

#3 Comment By Uncle Billy On June 26, 2015 @ 6:22 am

Christie’s whole thing was that he was a Republican who got elected Governor in a blue state. As if that alone qualifies him to be President. His tenure as Governor of NJ has overall not been very successful (not the disaster that Jindal has been in LA), but there is not much to distinguish him from say Scott Walker, another GOP Governor of a blue state.

The GOP field or “clown car” is very crowded, and one more candidate is not going to help the GOP. It’s going to be Bush or Walker, and the rest of the clown car should go home and stop inflicting themselves on the public.

#4 Comment By To Rule Them All On June 26, 2015 @ 9:16 am

Before they sputter into oblivion, I’d like to see More Pie Please take on The Donald in a cage match. Those two were made for each other.

#5 Comment By collin On June 26, 2015 @ 10:16 am

I know the Republicans don’t like the whole “Clown Car” analogy, but this Primary is going straight to heck here. (And Head Clown Donald Trump is polling in third place! And people are surprised by this one?) At this point, the stage of ~17 candidates and Rand Paul reacting Monty Python skits but stating who can be ‘Most Hawkish’ against Iran and ISIS.

Can Reince call Fox News and tell them any and all stories about Donald Trump are hurting the party.

#6 Comment By Essayist-Lawyer On June 26, 2015 @ 11:21 am

I’m guessing Christie being loud and obnoxious and confrontational in that very New Jersey way of his has a lot to do with it. There is a certain contingent of the Tea Party wing that equates obnoxiousness with principle.

They have since found out that Christie is not, in fact, principled (at least not in the way they want) but merely obnoxious. My guess is, it won’t be long before they remember the same thing about Trump.

#7 Comment By Just Dropping By On June 26, 2015 @ 11:40 am

I never quite understood the fascination many Republican pundits had with Christie

In addition to Essayist-Lawyer’s point about Christie’s confrontational attitude (which makes for good sound bites, if not good policy), I’d also add that the fascination was driven in large part simply because Christie happens to be the governor of a state right next door to the country’s largest concentration of broadcast and print media. New Yorkers are far more provincial than they can consciously admit and thus they constantly think that anything and anyone in the general vicinity of NYC is of world historic significance. (This is same reason that media outlets kept acting like Michael Bloomberg would be a formidable presidential candidate when in reality there was no chance that he could even win the primary for either party, let alone the presidency. See also, e.g., Rudy Giuliani.)

#8 Comment By Mr. Libertarian On June 26, 2015 @ 1:25 pm

Yes, I completely agree with the rationale advanced by Just Dropping By as regards Christie’s popularity with the GOP establishment, big donors, and the media. Don’t forget that iconic map of New York as the center of the world on the New Yorker cover.

#9 Comment By Hyperion On June 26, 2015 @ 5:17 pm

I was encouraged when in March, 2014 Christie deftly defended his appointment of Muslim Judge and called folks who opposed “Crazies”.

But it was all down hill after that and it had been all down hill before that as well.

#10 Comment By Andrew W On June 27, 2015 @ 12:46 am

I lived in New Jersey during Hurricane Sandy and thought he handled the situation well. It’s been downhill since then and he’s not qualified on foreign policy.

#11 Comment By seans On June 27, 2015 @ 9:34 am

Giuliani without 9-11 is basically a good description of what Christie is. It probably means he won’t even get 14 precent in the Florida primary.

#12 Comment By Reflectionephemeral On June 27, 2015 @ 9:50 am

On Christie’s (former) popularity-through-obnoxiousness as noted by Essayist-Lawyer and Just Droping By– [4]:

A left-wing friend of mine jokes that conservatives are “the party of affect”: meaning that conservatives tend to care much more how a politician speaks than what a candidate says. Christie almost perfectly exemplifies this rule. If he were a soft-spoken, conciliatory Northeastern budget-balancer, he’d be dismissed as a Bill Weld/Mike Castle RINO. But instead, he’s an-in-your-face confrontationalist. So he can favor handgun control and still be the Coulter choice for president. Just so long as he’s rude about it.

Pretty sure the “left-wing friend” turns out to be Richard Yeselson.

#13 Comment By EliteCommInc. On June 28, 2015 @ 9:20 pm

There are sadly several sons why I could not support his candidacy. However, it would be nice if returned to his roots of rhetorical style and spoke candidly. That would be refreshing.

I nearly fell over this morning when Mr.Trump response to ISIS, bomb their oil fields and deprive them of resources.

When it was noted that the Iraqi Governor might be uncomfortable with that idea.

He responded,

“Who cares.”

That is a breath of fresh air.

#14 Comment By redfish On June 29, 2015 @ 12:25 am

reflectionephemeral,

So he can favor handgun control and still be the Coulter choice for president. Just so long as he’s rude about it.

Romney was also a moderate, but, for the most part anyway, not overly confrontational, and he was the Coulter choice, too. She defended him as a conservative. Yet, Gingrich, who was extremely confrontational, she damned as a ‘liberal’, even though he was more conservative than Romney.

So I think that’s a complete misreading of Coulter, first of all. 😉 She has her own pet agendas, and you can’t take anything she says at face value.

And a misreading of the Tea Party. Most Tea Partiers, I find, actually agree with Mark Levin over Coulter on these issues.

Which isn’t to say there aren’t conservatives who admire Christie’s style, or candidates can’t bluster and bluff their way into being darlings of the conservative media. Go over to Breitbart right now, and see all of the silliness over Donald Trump. Two things going on there. One is they latch on to people being attacked by the media, and two is Trump is doing and saying all the right things.

Progressives have their own sillinesses like this, but that’s another topic.

#15 Comment By Mike Alexander On June 29, 2015 @ 8:35 am

Why are all these candidates expressing identical viewpoints running?

The GOP has heir-apparent Bush and Rand Paul, a more establishment version of his Dad. And they their Bush-alternative Walker. And that is what they used to run, three white guys.

But now they have like ten more guys who are all the same.

I can understand Trump, Cruz, Carson, and Fiona, they aren’t actually running for office, they had different objectives.

But what is one supposed to make of people like Rubio, Jindal, Christie, Perry, Graham, Pataki, Santorum, Huckabee, plus whoever else decides to jump in.

You would think that these guys, none of whom has a chance would display some range of choices for debate. But they all claim to hold the same conservative Republican views claimed by Bush and Walker. It’s like they are deliberately being closed-mouthed because they believe they might win. Such delusions should rule them out as acceptable candidates.

Look the primary system is broken for the GOP. It would be best if they went back to the old system, when nominees were selected in smoke-filled rooms. Republicans historically were never democrats, they don’t believe in democracy, so why the pretense?

#16 Comment By Moi On June 29, 2015 @ 3:10 pm

The man is a boor.

#17 Comment By bacon On June 29, 2015 @ 9:04 pm

To collin –

Sure, Reince can call Fox News and tell them the Christie coverage is hurting the republican party, but Fox News is in the entertainment business. Given a no-cost choice they might choose republicans, but if it gets in the way of the cash flow, forget it.

#18 Comment By jk On July 1, 2015 @ 3:24 am

Elitecomms, neocon swagger or loutishness is not an indicator of frankness.