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The American People Want Realism And Restraint

A new YouGov poll found that not only do the American people do not want war with Russia over Ukraine, but that big-picture attitudes on America's role in the world is moving in a restraint direction.
Russia,And,The,Us,In,Ukraine,And,The,Middle,East.

Russia has positioned large numbers of troops on its border with Ukraine, raising the specter of a Russian invasion, to which the foreign policy establishment in Washington has kept all its options, even military options, on the table. However, a new poll from YouGov suggests that the American people are not with the interventionists that control our foreign policy elite when it comes to militarily defending Ukraine.

The YouGov poll found that just 27% of respondents either “strongly” or “somewhat favor” going to war with Russia over protecting the territorial integrity of Ukraine, while 58% either “strongly” or “somewhat oppose.” Another 24% said they did not know. Across demographic indicators such as gender, race, and educational attainment, a plurality of respondents in each subcategory said they would be opposed to going to war with Russia over Ukraine.

With respect to age, a higher percentage of respondents ages 18-29 said they would favor going to war with Russia to protect Ukraine compared to other age groups, although a plurality of respondents 18-29 still opposed such a war. Opposition to getting into an armed conflict with Ukraine increased among each subsequent age grouping, with 40.8% of respondents 30-44, 51.1% of respondents 45-64, and 61.4% of respondents 65 and older saying they either “somewhat” or “strongly oppose” a war with Russia over Ukraine.

“The United States has no vital interests at stake in Ukraine and continuing to take actions that increase the risk of a confrontation with nuclear-armed Russia is therefore not necessary for our security,” Will Ruger, Vice President of Research and Policy at the Charles Koch Institute, said of the survey results. “After more than two decades of endless war abroad, it is not surprising there is wariness among the American people for yet another war that wouldn’t make us safer or more prosperous.”

Furthermore, when respondents were asked whether or not the current level of U.S. troops in Europe was appropriate, just 10.4% said the U.S. should increase its number of troops in Europe, while 32.6% said those numbers should be decreased. Another 37.4% said the number should remain the same. Also, when prefaced with the fact that the U.S. accounts for 70% of all defense spending by NATO countries, 60.5% of respondents said that America’s European allies should contribute more to their defense, while only 8.3% said less, and 31.2% said they do not know.

Beyond matters of NATO, Russia, and Ukraine, it seems the public’s perception is moving towards one of restraint when it comes to the bigger picture of America’s role in the world as the focal point of geopolitics shifts eastward from Europe and the Middle East to China. A plurality (40%) said the U.S. should be “less engaged” when asked if the U.S. should “be more or less militarily engaged in conflicts around the world, or stay about the same?” Nearly another third of respondents believed our engagement in military conflicts should remain the same, while only 10% believed the U.S. should be more engaged. Another 18% said they didn’t know. Furthermore, 73% of respondents agreed that our focus right now should be on solving domestic problems, rather than focusing on foreign policy issues. Just 7% said foreign policy issues should take precedence over the domestic in our current moment.

The poll was commissioned by the Charles Koch Institute and surveyed 1000 U.S. adults between Dec. 9 and 13 with a margin of error of +/- 3.4%.

Whether or not the foreign policy blob listens to the will of the American people remains to be seen, and with the current crisis of incompetence and unaccountability throughout its ranks, I certainly wouldn’t be surprised if they didn’t. But, for the sake of our soldiers and their families, let’s hope they do.

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