I’ll add to my prediction below that Ralph Nader will far outpace Bob Barr. But that’s a safe bet. What will be interesting to see is how close Chuck Baldwin, who is on fewer ballots (37 vs. 45), will get to Barr.

And thinking about it a bit more, I’m inclined to revise my pop vote estimate for Obama upwards. He’ll clobber McCain 54-46 percent. The country is about to do the Republican Party what the Bush administration has spent the last eight years doing to the country.

(Update: there’s a contradiction here, since a good showing by Nader should come at Obama’s expense, and most of the polls I’d been thinking of in coming up with a 54-46 win for Obama don’t include the third-party candidates. Nader and McKinney together might get between 1 and 2 percent, with Barr and Baldwin together getting about half that. So 53-46 or 52-45 would be a better guess.)