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Where's The Bump?

There has been a slight uptick in Obama’s national polling since he has “clinched” the nomination and it is showing up in a number of different tracking polls, but what is so striking about this uptick is how modest and small it is.  Yes, things can change, but isn’t a more or less immediate improvement the definition of receiving a “bump” from something?  If Obama’s numbers go up two or three weeks from now, this will not be a “bump” from locking up the nomination, but from something else.  Obama has been in his position as presumptive nominee for almost a week since the last primary, and yet the weekend polling seems to have shown very little movement.  Some boosters used to boast of the possibility of a ten point gain after the nomination was wrapped up, and in most polls he has gained perhaps two or three.  For the first time ever, if leaners are included, he has reached 50% in the Rasmussen tracking poll this week, and this is a mark McCain has gone over a number of times.  Count me as one underwhelmed by the rallying ’round Obama.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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