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There Is No ‘Better’ Nuclear Deal to Be Had

Foreign Policy reports [1] that Trump will decertify the nuclear deal, and it will then pursue the mirage of a better deal:

The move would put both Iran and European allies on notice that the Trump administration will insist on a new agreement with Tehran to address what it sees as shortcomings in the original 2015 deal [bold mine-DL], especially the fact that key restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program will end in 10 years, sources familiar with the administration’s deliberations told Foreign Policy.

There is no “better” nuclear deal to be had with Iran, so it’s not clear what the administration hopes to achieve. Perhaps they want to go through the motions of pretending to value a diplomatic solution before reneging on our obligations, but the end result will be much the same. All of the other parties are satisfied with the deal as it is, and none of them is open to renegotiating any part of it. The “shortcomings” that the administration sees are the necessary compromises required to make a deal possible. If you get rid of these so-called “shortcomings,” you blow up the deal, because Iran won’t accept harsher terms, and the U.S. will have no allied support for renegotiating something that was already competently negotiated the first time. Indeed, faulting the deal for its supposed inadequacies is a slight against the allied governments that helped to negotiate the agreement, and they are unlikely to go along with an effort that considers their previous diplomacy to be a failure. Trump essentially wants Iran to give up much more while having far less leverage over them, and he expects the rest of the world to fall in line with this ridiculous plan because he wishes it. The administration’s pursuit of a “better” deal will end in failure. The bigger problem is that in making the attempt they will remain blind to the fact that the deal is a success, and they are still determined to undermine it no matter what.

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9 Comments To "There Is No ‘Better’ Nuclear Deal to Be Had"

#1 Comment By Christian Chuba On October 5, 2017 @ 11:13 am

Key restrictions remain in place for 20, 25yrs and in perpetuity, including enhanced access to existing nuclear facilities and monitoring Iran’s uranium ore processing. When they lie, they speak their native language.

#2 Comment By Bob R. On October 5, 2017 @ 11:30 am

Trump’s goal, in fact the entire focus of his administration, is to overturn every accomplishment of Obama’s presidency. He may overturn this agreement and create a nearly identical one so he can put “TRUMP” across it, like his casinos and hotels.

#3 Comment By where it’s headed On October 5, 2017 @ 12:51 pm

They don’t want a better deal. They want no deal. And then they want American soldiers to go kill Iranians for Israel. AIPAC paid good cash money on the barrelhead for it, and our elected representatives are going to make AIPAC whole.

#4 Comment By clairence On October 5, 2017 @ 1:01 pm

“leadership!” It’s all about being decisive, even when you know you’re completely wrong.

Also, I didn’t see mentioned, other signatories to the Iran deal have said they’d remain in it. So, again, Trump is isolating US from the rest of the world.

#5 Comment By grumpy realist On October 5, 2017 @ 6:22 pm

I suspect that blowing up the agreement will be equivalent to dropping a box of lab mice on the floor: instant scatter, and no, you’ll never get them back in the box again.

Even as we speak Germany is gearing up for increasing auto sales to Iran. If Iran provides a good enough market/source of oil/whatever to Russia/Europe/China then forget about getting sanctions imposed ever again.

#6 Comment By Cassie On October 5, 2017 @ 6:25 pm

Welp. It’s just been announced that Dolt45 will decertify the deal and “kick it back to Congress.”

He’s really going to leave the US a smoking wreck. I strongly believe this is why Russia wanted him elected: to destroy the US.

#7 Comment By Just_Dropping_By On October 5, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

The particularly distressing thing in connection with this is that there seems to be an almost total blackout in the mainstream US media regarding the Western European pushback against Trump on this issue. Most of the US-based news accounts I’ve seen either don’t even mention it or relegate it to a sentence or two far down in the story. You’d think the fact that American allies are saying they won’t cooperate with blowing up the deal and negotiating a new one would get much more play.

#8 Comment By America First On October 6, 2017 @ 11:34 am

@Just_Dropping_By “You’d think the fact that American allies are saying they won’t cooperate with blowing up the deal and negotiating a new one would get much more play.”

That would highlight the gap between US and European interests on the one side and Israel’s on the other. Can’t have that. Not in NoDaylightWorld.

But it certainly begs the question as to why in God’s name Trump is siding with Israel against the interests of America and its allies.

#9 Comment By Charles Williams On October 9, 2017 @ 3:28 pm

The reason a better deal cannot be negotiated is that we have thrown away our bargaining leverage. You don’t have to approve the deal as negotiated to understand that not better deal is available now.