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The Continuing Repudiation Of McCain?

CNN exit polls suggest that Huckabee may squeak out a narrow victory in Virginia (as usual, women just love Huck), despite polls that showed him down by twenty just a few days ago.  If Huckabee wins Virginia, despite the supposed massive advantages McCain ought to have in the north and in the Tidewater with military voters, plus McCain’s backing by all the major Virginia Republicans, isn’t that a clear signal that the race is still competitive?  If something similar happens in Maryland, does Romney start reconsidering the possibility that the race is not necessarily over? 

Update: CNN adjusted its exit polls to show a much wider McCain lead, and that seems to be confirmed by the reported results.

Virginia county results are showing tremendous Huckabee strength in the Valley and the Southside, as you might expect, but also a decent showing in counties such as King William and Portsmouth where I wouldn’t have thought he would run as well.  It will come down to how the two fare in northern Virginia.

Update: CNN has called the race for McCain, but his lead is very narrow.  Importantly, most voters chose someone else, and according to exits he just barely won voters who had served in the military.

As of 7:50 Central, Buena Vista, Charlottesville, Galax and Lynchburg have not yet reported.  Those could all provide a late surge for Huckabee.  It isn’t necessarily over, despite the announced projection.  It’s over.

Update: I should really pay no attention to those early exit polls.  The final result in Virginia was 50-41–not all that close.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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