Larry Sabato predicts that the Democrats take the Senate and the House.  The Senate will be 51-49, he says, with Harold Ford being the only one of the six highly competitive Democratic challengers to lose.  I continue to hold to my prediction of the (increasingly unlikely) 52-48 result. 

In the House, Sabato thinks the Democrats will gain 29, six fewer than my (probably excessive) prediction of +35, picking a couple relatively unlikely upsets: according to this, Pombo and Musgrave lose (I don’t expect either of these incumbents to lose).  In Sabato’s scenario, Ryun hangs on and Kleeb doesn’t get over the top to win (I have brazenly claimed that Ryun will lose and Kleeb will win).  We agree that Sweeney and Bass will lose.  Interestingly, Sabato calls WI-08 for the GOP, while I assume it is going the other way.  He also calls FL-22 for the Democrats.  We differ on the Northup-Yarmuth race in KY-03 (I say Yarmuth) and also on NY-29 and OH-01, where Crystal Ball picks the GOP candidate and I don’t.  All in all, I feel pretty good about how often I do agree with Larry Sabato.  We’ll see how those races where we differ turn out, but everyone who has been following closely this year still seems to assume a GOP wipeout.  I’ll be following returns tomorrow night in a fairly frequently updated election post, so be sure to drop by and see how things are turning out (or you could be boringly conventional and watch the returns on the news).