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Obama v. McCain (Virginia)

As I mentioned earlier this week, McCain currently leads Obama 52-41 in Virginia.  There seem to be two different kinds of states this year with respect to Obama’s support among young voters.  In previous posts, I have pointed to the strong resistance to Obama among 18-29 year old voters in certain traditionally “blue” and “purple” states […]

As I mentioned earlier this week, McCain currently leads Obama 52-41 in Virginia.  There seem to be two different kinds of states this year with respect to Obama’s support among young voters.  In previous posts, I have pointed to the strong resistance to Obama among 18-29 year old voters in certain traditionally “blue” and “purple” states (in “red” states, young voters may be slightly more supportive than their elders or may be no more opposed than the general electorate).  Meanwhile, I should note once again that in other “blue” and “purple” states, such as Minnesota and New Hampshire, he is overwhelmingly popular in this same age group.  So it is in the case of Virginia, where he wins 18-29 year olds 64-29, but then loses every other age group by twelve points or more.  Currently he trails among independents by 19 points, and still loses 15% of Democrats to McCain.  The “good” news for Obama is that Clinton polls much worse, losing Virginia by 22.  Her numbers, especially her fav ratings, have been collapsing all over the place in the wake of her Tuzla lie.

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