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Obama v. McCain (Virginia)

As I mentioned earlier this week, McCain currently leads Obama 52-41 in Virginia.  There seem to be two different kinds of states this year with respect to Obama’s support among young voters.  In previous posts, I have pointed to the strong resistance to Obama among 18-29 year old voters in certaintraditionally“blue”and “purple” states (in “red” states, young voters may be slightly more supportive than their elders or may be no more opposed than the general electorate).  Meanwhile, I should note once again that in other “blue” and “purple” states, such as Minnesota and New Hampshire, he is overwhelmingly popular in this same age group.  So it is in the case of Virginia, where he wins 18-29 year olds 64-29, but then loses every other age group by twelve points or more.  Currently he trails among independents by 19 points, and still loses 15% of Democrats to McCain.  The “good” news for Obama is that Clinton polls much worse, losing Virginia by 22.  Her numbers, especially her fav ratings, have been collapsing all over the place in the wake of her Tuzla lie.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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