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Obama And Romney's Disease

Foremost among them is that Obama has yet to win a major state other than his own (Illinois) because he’s still having trouble appealing to both Hispanics and working-class Democrats –those so-called Reagan Democrats. ~Steven Stark

As I suggestedsome weeks back, the profile of Obama’s wins and Romney’s was remarkably similar, and this pattern has continued through this week.  Stark has looked at the “scrambled map” idea and has found it wanting just as I have:

But a more accurate analysis is that while McCain would be competitive in many states — even California — once considered safely Democratic, it’s hard to see as many comparable states where Obama might do the same.

In addition to this Romney-like weakness in large states, he has Huckabee-like weaknesses with Catholic voters for what are probably obvious reasons on life and marriage.  Add to this his weak hold on Democratic voters, and you have the makings of an electoral collapse.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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