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Mississippi Tonight

March 11, 2008

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2:47 pm

Daniel Larison

A three-day old Rasmussen poll shows Obama ahead 53-39 with 8% “not sure.”  Even if most of the late deciders go for Clinton, then Obama still ought to win by five points or more if we assume that these figures are right.  The crosstabs show a pattern very similar to South Carolina, where Obama wins almost every demographic by virtue of winning an overwhelming percentage of black voters.  The poll shows 22% of white voters backing Obama, which I believe is slightly lower than his share of that vote in South Carolina.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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