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Huckabee's Prospects

Jim Pinkerton, a senior Huckabee advisor, said the former Arkansas governor would carry on in spite of the count. “There’s the mathematics of these things, and there’s the metaphysics,” Pinkerton told Salon. ~Mike Madden My view of Huckabee’s goals is here.  On the Virginia primary, Huckabee prevailed overwhelmingly in all the parts of the state […]

Jim Pinkerton, a senior Huckabee advisor, said the former Arkansas governor would carry on in spite of the count. “There’s the mathematics of these things, and there’s the metaphysics,” Pinkerton told Salon. ~Mike Madden

My view of Huckabee’s goals is here.  On the Virginia primary, Huckabee prevailed overwhelmingly in all the parts of the state where you would expect him to do well, and he even had some respectable showings in eastern Virginia where McCain was supposed to be strongest.  The trouble is that most Virginians don’t live in the places where Huckabee thrives–as in South Carolina, McCain succeeded in the regions with the most transplants from outside the state, while Huckabee prevailed with the native-born Southerners.  Huckabee’s apparent limitations electorally (he is the rural, Christian conservative candidate) were on display on Tuesday, as he could scarcely win any major urban areas except those, such as Roanoke and Lynchburg, where his natural constituencies were very large.  He was shut out of the eastern coastal cities, Richmond and the Washington suburbs, just as you might expect the perceived “very conservative” candidate to be.  The good news for Huckabee is that there will be many states that fit his ideal profile in the next few months, which could give him enough support to prevent McCain from winning outright.  The bad news is that most of them are in April and May.

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