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Exits indicate that McCain will win the overall California vote. Obviously, how it breaks down district by district will determine whether Romney has been utterly humiliated or simply beaten. McCain is running strongest in central California, the Bay area and L.A. County, while Romney does best in southern California and the northern coast. McCain’s margins in both L.A. County and the Bay area are larger than Romney’s in his best areas, which means that McCain may be more competitive in Republican-held districts than some expected.

P.S. CNN has already called California for McCain. So much for Romney’s late polling surge.

about the author

Daniel Larison is a senior editor at TAC, where he also keeps a solo blog. He has been published in the New York Times Book Review, Dallas Morning News, World Politics Review, Politico Magazine, Orthodox Life, Front Porch Republic, The American Scene, and Culture11, and was a columnist for The Week. He holds a PhD in history from the University of Chicago, and resides in Lancaster, PA. Follow him on Twitter.

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