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Algeria and Libya

Greg Scoblete comments on signs of an emerging Libyan insurgency: Would countries like Chad, Niger or Sudan sustain a Gaddafi insurgency were one to take root? Probably not, but they might not do very much to discourage an insurgency from using their territory as a base from which to launch attacks. The government that might […]

Greg Scoblete comments on signs of an emerging Libyan insurgency:

Would countries like Chad, Niger or Sudan sustain a Gaddafi insurgency were one to take root?

Probably not, but they might not do very much to discourage an insurgency from using their territory as a base from which to launch attacks. The government that might be most sympathetic and willing to support Gaddafi loyalists more directly is Algeria. Algeria never wanted foreign intervention in Libya, it vocally opposed the bombing once it started, and it has still not recognized the TNC. Even if recognition is forthcoming, that need not rule out lending support to armed groups inside Libya. Algeria was apparently funneling military support to Gaddafi for most of the year, or at least it did not do anything to keep supplies from entering Libya, and it has since played host to exiled members of Gaddafi’s family. Virtually none of Libya’s neighbors accepted Western intervention in Libya, so it wouldn’t be surprising if one or more of them saw some advantage in sabotaging post-Gaddafi Libya.

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