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Holding the House: Races the GOP Needs to Win

We’ve worried recently about analyses showing the GOP could lose the House [1] (and what the Democratic leadership would look like as a result).

Robert Dunham at the San Francisco Chronicle thinks a turnover is possible but unlikely:

Because of reapportionment and redistricting, more than three dozen incumbents (of both parties) are fighting for their political survival. Add to that the larger-than-normal number of retirements, which has given each party some good take-over opportunities. And some 20 Tea Party freshmen are trying to prove that their 2010 upset wins were not a once-in-a-political-lifetime aberration. Democrats must gain 25 seats to win a majority in the House of Representatives, and they’re hoping for a Mitt Romney meltdown that discourages GOP turnout. It’ll be tough. Democrats are competitive in some 40 Republican-held districts. But the GOP could stake claim to up to 35 seats currently held by Democrats.

He then lists the ten top competitive House races [2] to watch.

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Comments Disabled To "Holding the House: Races the GOP Needs to Win"

#1 Comment By Play Again On September 24, 2012 @ 10:05 am

“some 20 Tea Party freshmen are trying to prove that their 2010 upset wins were not a once-in-a-political-lifetime aberration”

If they compromised themselves by voting for more budget-busting wars or for stripping Americans of freedom and privacy then they should be kicked out. The Tea Party is a continuing process. There is no indispensable Tea Party congressman.

#2 Comment By Clint On September 24, 2012 @ 12:54 pm

Tea Party Candidates need to stick to the fiscal and constitutional mission of The Tea Party or get their walking papers

The Tea Party Candidates are the hired help.

#3 Comment By obijuan On September 24, 2012 @ 2:11 pm

I never got the feeling that the Tea Party cared much for either “budget-busting wars or for stripping Americans of freedom and privacy.”