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An enduring mystery of the 2012 election cycle is how GOP candidates managed to lose senate races in both Montana and North Dakota, states which…
It’s happening. What was it that Nate Silver tweeted on election night? “On The Wall, The Writing”? On that score, the Washington Post…
Nate Silver had an interesting piece yesterday which concludes based on statistical evidence (as opposed to wishful thinking) that President Barack Obama and the…
The polls were not skewed. They did not oversample Democrats. They did not overestimate Democratic turnout. President Obama’s 2008 coalition — minorities, young people, single…
When Michael Lewis’s baseball book Moneyball was published in 2003, ex-player-turned-commentator Joe Morgan angrily trashed it. When the movie adaptation came out in 2011, manager…