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War with Iran Is Becoming More Likely

Curt Mills reports [1] on the disturbing ascendancy of John Bolton. This passage was particularly alarming:

Mattis, until recently effectively the deputy president, could be out by year’s end, according to two sources familiar with the matter. War with Iran is now “very” possible, according to a former senior administration official.

Mills’ reporting has been very reliable, especially where Bolton is concerned, so we should take what he is telling us seriously. Taken together with reports that regime change plans are being circulated in the White House [2] and Bolton’s own very public [3] endorsements [4] of the Mujahideen-e Khalq [5] (MEK) in their goal of overthrowing the Iranian government, this latest information strengthens the impression that war with Iran is becoming more likely. Insofar as Mattis has acted on a brake on some of Trump’s worst impulses, his departure would remove one of the last obstacles to plunging the U.S. into another unnecessary war. Even if Mattis doesn’t leave, he has been on the losing end of so many internal debates that it may not make a difference either way.

Mills continues:

Bolton is an avowed evangelist of regime change in Iran. He has made clear repeatedly that he is an advisor to the president – not the president. Donald Trump is the decision maker. But so far, Bolton has mostly gotten his way, and with startling speed.

One of the great dangers to the U.S. and the world in the coming years is that Bolton will keep getting his way with Trump.

8 Comments (Open | Close)

8 Comments To "War with Iran Is Becoming More Likely"

#1 Comment By b. On May 15, 2018 @ 3:20 pm

“Even if Mattis doesn’t leave, he has been on the losing end of so many internal debates that it may not make a difference either way.”

James “Lap Dog” Mattis, apologist for illegal aggressive acts against Syria and co-belligerence against Yemen, has not exactly delivered a principled defense of the Constitution against enemies domestic ever since he decided to stain his reputation by joining the Trump administration. Like Powell before him, he will likely “serve” until this term ends, or until he is dismissed by Trump.

“He has made clear repeatedly that he is an advisor to the president – not the president.”

Really. It’s sock puppets all the way down.

#2 Comment By b. On May 15, 2018 @ 3:23 pm

We now proceed with Channel Two – will the Democrats run in the mid-terms against war on Yemen, on the Korean Peninsula, or on Iran?

This was another edition of “If James Mattis was our last best hope, we have much bigger problems to contend with.

#3 Comment By Kurt Gayle On May 15, 2018 @ 4:12 pm

A New York Times article entitled “John Bolton, Fresh From Fox News, Joins the Trump Cast” (March 22, 2018) by Michael M. Grynbaum does a good job of explaining why President Trump decided to inflict John Bolton on Trump’s foreign policy decision-making team:

Less than an hour after President Trump named John R. Bolton as his new national security adviser on Thursday, Mr. Bolton made an appearance in the venue where many Americans, including Mr. Trump, have come to know him over the past decade: Fox News…Mr. Bolton — a featured commentator on Fox News since 2007, after his term as ambassador to the United Nations — is the third TV personality in the past eight days to join Mr. Trump’s it-came-from-the-small-screen White House team…Mr. Trump, a television connoisseur and former reality star, regularly turns to TV personalities as an informal sounding board. He speaks often with the Fox News anchors Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham, dined recently with their colleague Jesse Watters and tweeted a shout-out this week to the veteran anchor Lou Dobbs. But the elevation of Mr. Bolton is the latest sign that Mr. Trump is determined to pluck his favorite TV faces from their studios and place them in positions of serious consequence in American government. Heather Nauert, a former “Fox & Friends” anchor, was recently promoted to a high-ranking position in the State Department. Pete Hegseth, a co-host of “Fox & Friends Weekend,” has been mentioned as a candidate for secretary of veterans affairs, though his chances of being confirmed by Congress could be low…Mr. Bolton’s hard-line on-air presence has long pleased Mr. Trump. “He’s, you know, a tough cookie,” Mr. Trump, then a presidential candidate, told NBC News in 2015, naming Mr. Bolton as one of his sources for national security advice. “Knows what he’s talking about.” Since Mr. Trump took office, Mr. Bolton has used his Fox News platform to praise the president and castigate his critics. He described Mr. Trump’s address last year to the United Nations as “the best speech of the Trump presidency. It’s safe to say, in the entire history of the United Nations, there has never been a more straightforward criticism of the unacceptable behavior of other member states,” Mr. Bolton said.

[6]

The ascension of Bolton from Fox News to the White House is a truly frightening development. Bolton has never seen a war he didn’t like–and he is now at the President’s side, trying to convince Trump to go to war with Iran.

#4 Comment By CharleyCarp On May 15, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

B, you shouldn’t expect Democratic candidates to be running on foreign policy in the midterms. They’ll be running on health care, mostly, and maybe wages. There aren’t enough net votes to be had on potential war issues to justify mixing up their core message.

#5 Comment By CharleyCarp On May 15, 2018 @ 5:04 pm

OK, yes, I’ve had an exchange with Sen. Tester re: Yemen, and in 2015 he made an announcement about the Iran deal that made news for half an hour. But, really, no one in Montana is going to choose him over whichever nutball survives the Republican primary because of those (correct) positions.

#6 Comment By Miguel On May 15, 2018 @ 10:01 pm

U.S. war with Iran is basically certain, and the only thing in this world which could stop it would be a U.S. economic crisis as that in 2,008.

Besides of Bolton and Trump’s temperaments, it is clear that U.S, foreing policy is based on military action, necessary to fuel U.S. military industry and Israel’s interests -which also fuel said industry.

And it lehps U.S. expansionism in the Near East. The question is if U.S. financies can afford it, or will sink midway.

#7 Comment By Uncle Billy On May 16, 2018 @ 10:00 am

I am old enough to remember the Pete Seeger song “Waist deep in the big muddy” from the Vietnam years. He was right then and he is right again. Now we have another “big fool” telling us to push on. No thanks.

#8 Comment By Tancred On May 16, 2018 @ 10:55 am

I wonder if a recession would put the brakes on any Iran war plans or actually speed them up.