RCP reports a SurveyUSA poll that shows Mark Warner either destroying or totally destroying his Republican opposition next year.  Tom Davis can at least argue that his name may not be widely known in the Southside and the Valley.  Gilmore is as well-known as Warner in the state, and he gets absolutely annihilated (is a 28-point margin still a landslide, or does it count as an avalanche?).  That is probably because people do remember his tenure as governor.  George Allen polls at 37%–how are the mighty fallen. 

Yes, of course, the election is over a year away, the numbers will change, the margins will get smaller and no one should forget the fate of George Allen as a reminder that individual elections turn on the strangest things.  However, if some Republicans are already effectively writing off New Hampshire as a lost cause, and Shaheen only polls at 54%, is Virginia really even competitive at this point?  On New Hampshire, another RCP item had this to say:

Shaheen’s entry into the contest against Sununu has cast a pall over many Republican strategists around the country. “That seat’s done. That’s over,” said one GOP strategist. A recent poll showed Shaheen leading incumbent John Sununu, 54%-38%. “She’s over fifty [percent,” the GOP strategist said, “which is the hardest thing of all. That means they have to pull people away from her.