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Politics Foreign Affairs Culture Fellows Program

Iran and Munich

Bruce Thornton disagrees with some uses of Munich analogies, but still wants to abuse the comparison: This truth gives force to the Munich analogy when applied to diplomacy with Iran. Hitler correctly judged that what he called the “little worms” of Munich, France and England, would not use such force, and were only looking for […]

Bruce Thornton disagrees with some uses of Munich analogies, but still wants to abuse the comparison:

This truth gives force to the Munich analogy when applied to diplomacy with Iran. Hitler correctly judged that what he called the “little worms” of Munich, France and England, would not use such force, and were only looking for a politically palatable way to avoid a war. Similarly today, the mullahs in Iran are confident that America will not use force to stop the nuclear weapons program. Iran’s leaders are shrewd enough to understand that the Obama administration needs a diplomatic fig leaf to hide its capitulation to their nuclear ambitions, given his doubts about the rightness of America’s global dominance, and the war-weariness evident among the American people. Unfortunately, this deal allows the Iranians to continue spinning the centrifuges and inching ever closer to the capacity quickly to build a nuclear weapon, even as they receive the much needed funds that will come from sanctions relief.

The comparison doesn’t make any sense here, but not just for the usual reason that Iran makes for a very poor stand-in for Nazi Germany. When they compare diplomacy with Iran to the Munich conference, Iran hawks reliably get the roles backwards. If there is any “appeasement” going on in this dispute, Iran is engaging in it by trying to make enough concessions to forestall an attack from one or more states. The U.S. and its allies and clients are the ones threatening military action if their demands aren’t met, and Iran is the one being pressed to agree to terms under duress. If everyone in the Iranian government were as preoccupied with the “lessons of Munich” as so many American hawks are, they would have to assume that there is no point in negotiating with governments that are likely to turn around and attack them a little later. Fortunately, that doesn’t have to be the case, and there seems to be some willingness on the part of Iran’s leaders to reach an agreement that satisfies the U.S. and the other major powers while avoiding war.

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