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Iowa Predictions

As the caucuses commence, I should record my predictions for tonight’s outcome. I expect Ron Paul to win, Romney to finish second, and Santorum to come in third. I think Paul’s results are going to surprise for being higher than the 18-20% he has been receiving in recent polls, and Santorum’s support is going to […]

As the caucuses commence, I should record my predictions for tonight’s outcome. I expect Ron Paul to win, Romney to finish second, and Santorum to come in third. I think Paul’s results are going to surprise for being higher than the 18-20% he has been receiving in recent polls, and Santorum’s support is going to be underwhelming given his late “surge” and the explosion of media coverage he has received.

Update: If you have an interest in following the results as they are reported, go here (via Weigel).

CNN’s entrance poll can be found here. Other live results here and here.

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