Comments on: The GOPocalypse Keeps Getting Worse http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse n. the principle of good order<br /><br /> "Observe the strange inversion of all order and sense! Dignity debased; how vilely is the function of a consul prostituted!" ~The Craftsman Fri, 10 Feb 2012 02:25:26 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Eunomia » KS-02 http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/comment-page-1/#comment-11723 Eunomia » KS-02 Sat, 21 Jun 2008 20:09:39 +0000 http://www.amconmag.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/#comment-11723 [...] Kansas’ 2nd District may be turning into a safe seat for the Democrats, according to this result.  Generic approval for Congress is an abysmal 12% these days, but the personal job approval ratings for new Democratic incumbents  appear to be very good, and we all know that the generic Congressional ballot is overwhelmingly pro-Democratic.  As far as Nancy Boyda is concerned, there does not seem to be voter’s remorse over her 2006 election, which supports my earlier guess that her seat was not as vulnerable as the race rankings suggest that it is.  Pretty clearly, contrary to what I was saying earlier this month, her endorsement of Obama has had no meaningful effect on support for her in the district.  KS-02 ought to be one of the GOP’s best chances to retake a seat lost in the midterms, and that possibility seems more remote by the day.  Things may change once the Republicans settle on a nominee, but there is no reason right now to think that a Boyda-Ryun rematch would yield a different result. [...] [...] Kansas’ 2nd District may be turning into a safe seat for the Democrats, according to this result.  Generic approval for Congress is an abysmal 12% these days, but the personal job approval ratings for new Democratic incumbents  appear to be very good, and we all know that the generic Congressional ballot is overwhelmingly pro-Democratic.  As far as Nancy Boyda is concerned, there does not seem to be voter’s remorse over her 2006 election, which supports my earlier guess that her seat was not as vulnerable as the race rankings suggest that it is.  Pretty clearly, contrary to what I was saying earlier this month, her endorsement of Obama has had no meaningful effect on support for her in the district.  KS-02 ought to be one of the GOP’s best chances to retake a seat lost in the midterms, and that possibility seems more remote by the day.  Things may change once the Republicans settle on a nominee, but there is no reason right now to think that a Boyda-Ryun rematch would yield a different result. [...]

]]> By: Daniel Larison http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/comment-page-1/#comment-11565 Daniel Larison Fri, 13 Jun 2008 18:54:55 +0000 http://www.amconmag.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/#comment-11565 Thanks for the correction. That was pure confusion on my part--I remembered that his district included one of them, but I neglected to double-check. In any case, New York City geography is probably more foreign to me than that of many other countries, so I didn't catch the mistake when I was reading over the post. Thanks for the correction. That was pure confusion on my part–I remembered that his district included one of them, but I neglected to double-check. In any case, New York City geography is probably more foreign to me than that of many other countries, so I didn’t catch the mistake when I was reading over the post.

]]> By: MuteNostrilAgony http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/comment-page-1/#comment-11564 MuteNostrilAgony Fri, 13 Jun 2008 18:18:05 +0000 http://www.amconmag.com/larison/2008/06/12/the-gopocalypse-keeps-getting-worse/#comment-11564 From the start, this has been shaping up as a tough election cycle for congressional Republicans. The neocons have been chortling about Congress's low approval ratings. As justifiably unpopular as the Democratic-controlled Congress may be, what does it say about the crazed condition of the Republicans that they could still suffer double-digit losses in November? If I may offer one small correction to your post. Vito Fossella's district contains Staten Island and a small slice of Brooklyn, not Long Island. However, Staten Island is probably more of a GOP stronghold at this point than Nassau and Suffolk counties (where Democrats have made impressive inroads in recent years.) If even Fossella's district falls into the hands of the Democrats on election night, it could be a long night indeed for the GOP. From the start, this has been shaping up as a tough election cycle for congressional Republicans. The neocons have been chortling about Congress’s low approval ratings. As justifiably unpopular as the Democratic-controlled Congress may be, what does it say about the crazed condition of the Republicans that they could still suffer double-digit losses in November?

If I may offer one small correction to your post. Vito Fossella’s district contains Staten Island and a small slice of Brooklyn, not Long Island. However, Staten Island is probably more of a GOP stronghold at this point than Nassau and Suffolk counties (where Democrats have made impressive inroads in recent years.) If even Fossella’s district falls into the hands of the Democrats on election night, it could be a long night indeed for the GOP.

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