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Depression or EU superstate?

Signs that fateful choice rushing towards Europeans: abandon sovereignty, or accept economic depression as price of self-rule. Excerpt: Mrs Merkel may wish to go further – and her finance minister Wolfgang Schauble is a diehard integrationist – but her hands are tied by Germany’s Basic Law, the anchor of German democracy, and the constitutional court. […]

Signs that fateful choice rushing towards Europeans: abandon sovereignty, or accept economic depression as price of self-rule. Excerpt:

Mrs Merkel may wish to go further – and her finance minister Wolfgang Schauble is a diehard integrationist – but her hands are tied by Germany’s Basic Law, the anchor of German democracy, and the constitutional court. The judges ruled in September that the fiscal powers of the Bundestag may not be transferred to EU bodies.

“There is little leeway left for giving up core powers to the EU. If one wants to go beyond this limit… then Germany must give itself a new constitution. A referendum would be necessary,” said chief justice Andreas Vosskuhle.

The pro-European wing of the CDU is floating plans for changes to the Basic Law to allow for a quantum leap to a European superstate. This is vehemently opposed by Bavaria’s Social Christians, and part of the CDU itself. It would require a two-thirds majority in both houses of parliament. There is a high likelihood that German voters would reject the plan. It would in any case take two or three years to push through.

Yet the crisis is escalating by the day. Moody’s said it is not clear whether Europe’s EFSF bail-out machinery can “fund itself in the markets at low cost”, raising doubts about its ability to contain the debt crisis. The rating agency said plans to leverage the EFSF to €1 trillion have come to little, leaving it with just €266bn after funding Ireland, Portugal and Greece. “This limits the EFSF’s role as an important pillar of the euro area crisis management strategy,” it said.

There is nothing yet standing behind the system as Europe spins wildly into the eye of the storm.

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